Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 106.470307 123.129868 143.055959 169.107117 202.995517 2.466932e+02 3.092986e+02
2024-10-06 86.568837 107.215343 134.808832 176.088291 239.746607 3.414812e+02 5.363812e+02
2024-10-13 71.771254 91.882004 120.289193 165.946654 243.627458 3.861326e+02 7.257679e+02
2024-10-20 65.266460 86.167680 117.284557 170.988252 272.333483 4.902540e+02 1.186628e+03
2024-10-27 58.571690 78.907312 110.263185 167.116380 282.844992 5.651957e+02 1.755157e+03
2024-11-03 56.487569 78.130853 113.091341 180.925396 335.043316 7.951305e+02 4.214560e+03
2024-11-10 56.893475 81.192127 122.717980 210.536998 442.522555 1.398905e+03 4.102894e+04
2024-11-17 53.187508 76.990003 118.742137 210.771339 473.472705 1.787637e+03 1.812562e+07
2024-11-24 49.532423 72.451415 113.438097 206.658827 489.552905 2.167038e+03 NaN
2024-12-01 46.426247 68.541632 108.782469 202.966583 505.814333 2.652032e+03 NaN
2024-12-08 44.182800 65.921955 106.271536 203.922510 540.744666 3.589791e+03 NaN
2024-12-15 42.145839 63.477366 103.783092 204.363039 575.304292 4.982048e+03 NaN
2024-12-22 39.322111 59.722572 98.890525 199.402349 594.381829 6.961089e+03 NaN
2024-12-29 37.906920 58.468673 99.139077 209.222219 700.914388 1.930944e+04 NaN
2025-01-05 34.982723 54.105177 92.129031 196.046009 671.581286 2.312972e+04 NaN
2025-01-12 33.758204 52.840061 91.681927 202.545428 770.917848 1.485670e+05 NaN
2025-01-19 31.914709 50.223260 87.887079 197.558213 791.595096 1.650188e+06 NaN
2025-01-26 31.601224 50.538371 90.765090 215.409751 1026.431697 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 32.200073 52.716004 98.412019 254.319557 1665.993848 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 30.928984 50.956980 96.150245 254.630833 1852.052416 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 29.535822 48.841059 92.735187 249.175765 1934.829510 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 28.280338 46.930050 89.644015 244.291828 2026.693848 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 27.354156 45.650577 88.050845 245.555041 2284.091095 NaN NaN